Late-Round (30th-50th) Pitching Targets – 2021

This page will be updated throughout the offseason to track potential pitchers to select in the 30th round and later. The goal here is not to label these guys as sleepers, but instead find reasons why investing late-round picks make sense. Even just a few quality weeks’ of production could make these guys worth a selection (particularly anyone 35th – 50th round).

Adrian Houser

Draft Dates ADP Range
January 1st – January 25th, 19 drafts 454.42 (30th round) 384 – 587

Reasons to target

  • Nick Pollack over at PitcherList looked at the first 4 weeks of the season to identify teams with an advantageous schedule. Houser is currently slated (assuming rational approach to rotation and no unexpected scheduling changes) to face Cubs, Cardinals, and Pirates.

Alec Mills

Draft Dates ADP Range
January 1st – January 25th, 19 drafts 480.32 (33rd round) 425 – 563

Reasons to target

  • Nick Pollack over at PitcherList looked at the first 4 weeks of the season to identify teams with an advantageous schedule. Mills’ first 3 out of 4 games are projected to be against either Pittsburgh or Milwaukee, both of which should be favorable matchups. Pulling in 3 potentially quality starts at the beginning of the season from such a late pick could be useful.

Randy Dobnak

Draft Dates ADP Range
January 1st – January 25th, 19 drafts 509.74 (33rd round) 425 – 599

Reasons to target

  • Nick Pollack over at PitcherList looked at the first 4 weeks of the season to identify teams with an advantageous schedule. Dobnak could potentiall face Detroit, Red Sox (@MIN), Angels, and Pirates.

Alex Wood

Draft Dates ADP Range
January 1st – January 25th, 19 drafts 505.74 (33rd) 403 – 618;

Reasons to target

  • Nick Pollack over at PitcherList looked at the first 4 weeks of the season to identify teams with an advantageous schedule. Potential opening schedule: @Padres (skip this one), COL, @MIA, MIA. I could feel comfortable rolling Wood out in his 2nd-4th starts.

Wade Miley

Draft Dates ADP Range
January 1st – January 25th, 19 drafts 701.37 (46th round) 595 – 738; undrafted in 7 leagues

Reasons to target

  • Nick Pollack over at PitcherList looked at the first 4 weeks of the season to identify teams with an advantageous schedule. If Miley holds down the #4 slot, he could face the Pirates, Giants (@ San Francisco), Cleveland, and St. Louis. I’ll take the first 3, and possibly even the 4th. The schedule is great, and it comes down to comfort with Miley. He is free, but if you’re not starting him in the opening weeks, then not sure you should bother