Third Base Rankings – 2021 Top 50 (2/21)

I will continuously update my rankings throughout the 2021 preseason based on updates to my projections, which themselves are based on transactions, injuries, and “best shape of his life” narratives (hopefully more of the first two). And also as I have time to do some research into individual players.

Notes are my quick thoughts on players.

Rank
Tier
Player
ADP
My Notes
1 1 Jose Ramirez 10.5
2 1 Manny Machado 24.94 2/21: Not sure I am fully buying into last year, but he’s clear 2nd best 3B right now for me (however, I see the distance between him and Ramirez as about the same between him and Rendon/Devers
3 2 Anthony Rendon 44.04 2/21: More confident in Rendon than Devers but happy to have either
4 2 Rafael Devers 43.83 2/21: More confident in Rendon than Devers but happy to have either
5 2 Eugenio Suarez 80.5 2/21: Ranking driven by potential 35-40 HR
6 2 DJ LeMahieu 32.35 2/21: Don’t have him high enough to ever draft him, but appreciate what he brings (high average, runs, positional flexibility)
7 2 Alex Bregman 47.13 2/21: Similar ADP as Rendon/Devers, but I’m targeting Suarez two rounds later rather than take Bregman
8 2 Nolan Arenado 39.22 2/21: Hard pass for me; like the player, but not the price tag
9 3 Matt Chapman 117.89 2/21: Poor man’s Suarez but happy to have either at their draft price
10 3 Cavan Biggio 62.76 2/21: Overpriced at the moment, but have paid it myself when I’ve shorted myself SBs through the first 4-5 rounds (don’t do that)
11 3 Jeff McNeil 90.35 2/21:
12 3 Kyle Seager 255.7 2/21: This is most likely too high, but seems right “by the numbers” if Seager gets 600+ ABs and maintains HR typical HR output; a clear target for me at his current draft price
13 3 Yoan Moncada 84.41 2/21: May end up with at least one share due to FOMO; feel like ceiling is there
14 3 Kris Bryant 136.8 2/21: Reasonable price tag; Runs >> RBI
15 3 Max Muncy 101.94 2/21: Low average, no SB; quality target for other 3
16 3 Gio Urshela 159.81 2/21: Good target for batting average
17 3 Austin Riley 202.02 2/21: Reasonable target
18 3 Ke’Bryan Hayes 145.48 2/21: Will own zero shares at current price
19 3 Josh Donaldson 205.2
20 3 Alec Bohm 111.35 2/21: Will own zero shares at current price
21 3 Brian Anderson 228.2
22 3 Justin Turner 208.19
23 3 Tommy Edman 126.44 2/21: Think I have too high in 2B rankings; now putting lower value and have likely priced myself out of drafting
24 3 Jean Segura 179.5 2/21: Like the player, not the price tag
25 3 Eduardo Escobar 278.06
26 4 Jeimer Candelario 252.72
27 4 David Fletcher 229.19
28 4 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 295.56
29 4 Ryan McMahon 239.65
30 4 Andres Gimenez 157.69 2/21: Will own zero shares at current price
31 4 Willi Castro 253.83
32 4 Joey Wendle 311.06 2/21: Not much HR/SB volue, but solid player for draft price
33 4 J.D. Davis 238.57 2/21: Villar + McNeil will keep Abs low?
34 4 Maikel Franco 441.59 2/21: Not signed yet, but feels like he should get a job
35 4 Evan Longoria 371.87 2/21: Not what he once was, but can be solid enough as a 50-round backup
36 4 Rio Ruiz 486.56 2/21: Don’t expect much, but happy picking him up in 30th+ round
37 4 Yandy Diaz 431.04
38 4 Carter Kieboom 422.28
39 4 David Bote 470.78
40 5 Chad Pinder 461.33
41 5 Todd Frazier 735.24 2/21: Could be a “steal” at this point
42 5 Asdrubal Cabrera 518.41
43 5 Matt Carpenter 572.5
44 5 Jake Lamb 661.07 2/21: How does the Braves signing impact value?
45 5 Luis Urias 384.67 2/21: Will own zero shares at current price
46 5 Brad Miller 597.33
47 5 Travis Shaw 568.35
48 5 Marwin Gonzalez 453.07 2/21: Will own zero shares at current price
49 5 Phillip Evans 715.87 2/21: Reasonable target near end of drafts
50 5 Mike Brosseau 422 2/21: Will own zero shares at current price